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	<title>everything flows &#187; long term thinking</title>
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		<title>Environmental politics over the long term</title>
		<link>http://www.lukerodgers.ca/2008/10/environmental-politics-over-the-long-term/</link>
		<comments>http://www.lukerodgers.ca/2008/10/environmental-politics-over-the-long-term/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Oct 2008 22:35:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Luke Rodgers</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[philosophy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[election2008]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[george monbiot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hannah arendt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[long term thinking]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.lukerodgers.ca/?p=342</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[According to George Monbiot,
While prime ministers in Italy and eastern Europe are demanding a bonfire of environmental measures in order to save the economy, in the UK politicians from all the major parties have made the connection between environmental destruction (&#8230;)</p><p><a href="http://www.lukerodgers.ca/2008/10/environmental-politics-over-the-long-term/">Read the rest of this entry &#187;</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>According to George Monbiot,</p>
<blockquote><p>While prime ministers in Italy and eastern Europe are demanding a bonfire of environmental measures in order to save the economy, in the UK politicians from all the major parties have made the connection between environmental destruction and economic meltdown.</p></blockquote>
<p>At any rate, both the UK and Europe are thinking longer-term than the disgracefully <a href="http://www.desmogblog.com/europe-leads-north-america-dawdles">dawdling North America</a>. The most disappointing result of the recent Canadian election was the public&#8217;s apparent distaste for the <a href="http://www.liberal.ca/vis_enviro_e.aspx">Liberals&#8217; Green Shift</a>, which would have introduced some policy foresight into the perennially myopic Canadian politics scene.</p>
<p>Monbiot proposes an interesting solution for overcoming the inherent tendency of politics to focus on problems that, however, trivial in the long term, affect the current electorate.</p>
<blockquote><p>What can be done about political short-termism? With the environmental thinker Matthew Prescott, I&#8217;ve hatched what might be a partial solution. We propose a new parliamentary body &#8211; the 100-year committee &#8211; whose purpose would be to assess the likely impacts of current policy in 10, 20, 50 and 100 years&#8217; time. Like any other select committee, it would gather evidence, publish reports and make recommendations to the government. It would differ only in that it had no interest in the current political cycle. Its maximum timeframe would be roughly the residence time of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.</p></blockquote>
<p>Not a bad role for a senate-like body which, in Hannah Arendt&#8217;s analysis, has the role of maintaining the origins or foundations of a body politic. As a group that is at least formally outside the traditional, short-term political cycle, such a body would be suited to providing a longer-term vision that is increasingly necessary as societies broaden and deepen the extent to which they act on the environment.</p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Bot-mediated reality</title>
		<link>http://www.lukerodgers.ca/2008/10/bot-mediated-reality/</link>
		<comments>http://www.lukerodgers.ca/2008/10/bot-mediated-reality/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Oct 2008 03:24:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Luke Rodgers</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[philosophy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[robots doing evil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[robots doing good]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[things about which I am ambivalent]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[long term thinking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[longnow foundation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[privacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[technocracy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.lukerodgers.ca/?p=340</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Having just spent upwards of 25 hours in a car driving between Peterborough, Toronto, and Pukaskwa National Park, one of the ways we passed the time was listening to a variety of podcasts, including Philosophy Bites, CBC Ideas, and the (&#8230;)</p><p><a href="http://www.lukerodgers.ca/2008/10/bot-mediated-reality/">Read the rest of this entry &#187;</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Having just spent upwards of 25 hours in a car driving between Peterborough, Toronto, and Pukaskwa National Park, one of the ways we passed the time was listening to a variety of podcasts, including <a href="http://nigelwarburton.typepad.com/philosophy_bites/">Philosophy Bites</a>, <a href="http://www.cbc.ca/ideas/">CBC Ideas</a>, and the Long Now Foundation&#8217;s <a href="http://www.longnow.org/projects/seminars/">Seminars About Long Term Thinking</a> (SALT).</p>
<p>While SALT has hosted a bevy of fascinating and influential guests, including Craig Venter, Jimmy Wales, Francis Fukuyama, and Ray Kurzweil, <a href="http://blog.longnow.org/2008/08/19/daniel-suarez-daemon-bot-mediated-reality/">Daemon: Bot-Mediated Reality</a> by author and software engineer Daniel Suarez was one of the most interesting and thought-provoking (<a href="http://fora.tv/media/rss/Long_Now_Podcasts/podcast-2008-08-08-suarez.mp3">mp3 here</a>).</p>
<p><span id="more-340"></span></p>
<p>Suarez describes our world as being increasingly run, unconsciously, by an increasing number of bots, defined as &#8220;narrow AI&#8221;: robots that are very good at doing one, narrowly defined thing, like scraping auto insurance rates from websites, deciding whether you qualify for a mortgage, and so on. The scenario of increasing automation raises a host of troubling questions about the possibility of privacy (this on the heels of an announcement of the UK&#8217;s intention to scan every single email correspondence) in a world where proliferating electronic devices silently communicate your information and daily activity to each other, opening up more and more points of entry vulnerable to exploitation and digital eavesdropping.</p>
<p>But more worryingly, and more interestingly, is the spectre of a society in which decisions are made by closed-source algorithms (bots), the inner workings and logic of which is unknown to the majority of humanity. This, says Suarez, leaves societies open to domination by a small set of people who control these bots or understand how they work (here Suarez, I think somewhat illegitimately, conflates this prospect with the worrying but not intrinsically related phenomenon of the growth of malicious Internet-based botnets).</p>
<p>Suarez&#8217;s proposed solution&#8211;or, better, proposed avenue of exploration&#8211;is a sort of open-source operating system for democracy, in which decision making is fully decentralized, and open source bots are used simply to filter and sort information which is then decided upon and acted upon by three levels of people: average citizens, recognized experts, and then a third circle of even more respected experts.</p>
<p>For instance, people receive news from bots of an environmental spill on their mobile devices; they read it and classify it, as part of their civic duty; bots pass on the info to experts (as determined by social-network-like authority/ranking systems), who enact another layer of decision-making; bots then pass this information on to a final (set of) decision maker(s) who allocates necessary human and financial resources to resolve the issue, all of this taking place without any centralized government.</p>
<p>Whether this could still be called democracy is of course up for debate. Before this sort of technology, an advanced technocracy was perhaps not possible or viable without representative democracy, but Suarez paints a fairly convincing, if sketchy and in outline form only, picture of what such a system would look like.</p>
<p>I have to say that the proposed solution is not a whole lot less concerning than the alternative of a world run by bots and tyrants. In any case, the ideas are fascinating, and credit must be given to Suarez for formulating them and linking them together in such a creative and challenging way.</p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Consequences of bot-mediated reality</title>
		<link>http://www.lukerodgers.ca/2008/09/consequences-of-bot-mediated-reality/</link>
		<comments>http://www.lukerodgers.ca/2008/09/consequences-of-bot-mediated-reality/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sep 2008 17:36:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Luke Rodgers</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[philosophy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[predictable things]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[robots doing evil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[long term thinking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[longnow foundation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[semantic web]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.lukerodgers.ca/?p=282</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I have a lot of catch-up listening to do with regards to The Long Now Foundation&#8217;s excellent Seminars About Long-term Thinking (SALT) lecture and podcast series. I&#8217;m a charter member of the Foundation, which gets you a sweet membership card (&#8230;)</p><p><a href="http://www.lukerodgers.ca/2008/09/consequences-of-bot-mediated-reality/">Read the rest of this entry &#187;</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have a lot of catch-up listening to do with regards to <a href="http://www.longnow.org/">The Long Now Foundation</a>&#8217;s excellent <a href="http://www.longnow.org/projects/seminars/">Seminars About Long-term Thinking</a> (SALT) lecture and podcast series. I&#8217;m a <a href="https://secure.longnow.org/members/charter-members.php">charter member</a> of the Foundation, which gets you a sweet membership card and access to video of their lectures, among other less tangible things like knowing you&#8217;re helping inject some much-needed awareness of long-term thinking and planning into public discourse.</p>
<p>One of the lectures I&#8217;m particularly looking forward to downloading is the recent <a href="http://blog.longnow.org/2008/08/19/daniel-suarez-daemon-bot-mediated-reality/">Daemon: Bot-Mediated Reality</a> by Daniel Suarez, which I think has particular relevance given the recent and rather large f-up in which <a href="http://tech.slashdot.org/tech/08/09/10/203233.shtml">Google&#8217;s news crawler inadvertently &#8220;evaporated $1.14B USD&#8221;</a>.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, I think that in the near future, as more and more processes are automated, we will see more such screw-ups of this scale. I can&#8217;t help but think that this might have been avoidable, though, if the indexing engine had been able to take advantage of semantic data rather than relying on scraping and evaluating natural language.</p>]]></content:encoded>
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